Nikon Z triple-lock: 5 deals (June 6)

The Fujifilm X-H2's five-day ATL window slammed shut overnight. The $1,509 floor unit — a Good-condition body that had held steady since June 2 — sold, and the next tier opened at $1,649, a $140 jump in roughly 23 hours. That deal is gone.

What makes today's session distinctive is what didn't move. Nikon Z is running three simultaneous all-time lows — the Z 24-70mm f/4 S at $374 (Day 4), the Z5 at $629 (Day 5), and the Z 28mm f/2.8 at $154 (Day 7) — with zero floor movement across all three. In a week of flash crashes and floor bounces across other systems, a triple ATL that sits completely still for four to seven consecutive sessions is atypical. Stable floors with 14–43 units still available suggest these are structural trade-in gluts, not flash discounts already draining away.

Fujifilm X isn't empty-handed: the XF 35mm f/2 WR added two units overnight to reach 73 in stock at $249, its Day 3 ATL. Panasonic L has one development worth noting: the first Excellent-grade Lumix S1R II appeared at $2,559, a $40 improvement over the previous Like New floor. Canon EF legacy glass continues its long-running value axis with the EF 24-70mm f/2.8L II at $514.

Sony E is in full wait phase — no new ATLs, and the A7R V's 7-day floor is definitively closed.

6-month range: $249–$364. Floor unchanged, Day 3 ATL. Inventory: 73 units (+2 overnight from 71). 1

Seventy-three units is the deepest single-item inventory count in this radar's current watchlist. At that volume, the $249 floor reflects a structural surplus — MPB is pricing to move trade-ins, and the floor is more likely to soften further than snap back. The XF 35mm f/2 R WR (Fujifilm's compact weather-resistant 35mm prime for X-mount, 53mm full-frame equivalent, f/2 maximum aperture, 9 elements in 6 groups) retails new around $449; $249 is 44.5% off. First-page visible units are Like New ($354–$364) and Excellent ($354–$359); the $249 floor unit is Good grade. No model-level issues to flag — this lens has a clean service record.

6-month price trend: $269 was the floor through most of the tracked window; the $249 ATL appeared first on Day 1 (June 4) and has held three consecutive sessions. A 7.5% drop from the previous floor with no bounce after three days suggests the floor is durable.

Pair it with: Fujifilm X-T4 at $1,029 (currently Day 6 at 15 units on MPB — IBIS, 26.1MP X-Trans CMOS 4, 300k rated shutter). 2 The XF 35/2 WR's weather resistance pairs natively with the X-T4's body sealing — total kit $1,278.

Verdict: Buy. Seventy-three units and three confirmed days at the same floor. Zero urgency, but $249 is the lowest this lens has traded on MPB and the X-H2 bounce makes this the top active Fuji X signal.

6-month range: $374–$484. Floor unchanged, Day 4 ATL. Inventory: 43 units (unchanged from Day 3). 3

The Z 24-70mm f/4 S (Nikon's collapsible constant-aperture standard zoom for Z-mount, optical stabilization, HB-85 hood, 72mm filter thread) retails new around $799; $374 is 53% off. Floor arrived June 3 and hasn't shifted a cent in four sessions. Visible units: Like New ($484) and Excellent ($469); the $374 floor unit is deeper in inventory, likely Good or Well Used grade — confirm the specific SKU with MPB before ordering. Forty-three units still available means no supply pressure.

Pair it with: Nikon Z5 at $629 (Pick 3 below) — $1,003 for a full-frame Z-mount travel kit, both at simultaneous all-time lows. 4

Verdict: High-confidence buy. $374 is the lowest this lens has traded on MPB. Four days without a bounce confirms the floor, and 43 units means no supply constraint.

6-month range: $629–$759. Floor unchanged, Day 5 ATL. Inventory: 24 units (unchanged from Day 4). 4

The Z5 ran a $529 ATL streak earlier this month (May 28–June 2 window), which closed when that batch sold through. The current $629 floor has now held longer than that original streak — five sessions with no change in unit count either direction. Weekend traffic may explain the standstill, but 24 units rules out an imminent sell-through.

The Z5 (Nikon's 24.3MP full-frame Z-mount mirrorless, 5-axis IBIS, dual SD card slots, weather sealing, rated 200,000 shutter actuations) retails new around $999; $629 is 37% off. Visible units: Like New at $729–$759, Excellent at $734; the $629 floor unit is lower grade. Shutter count is undisclosed — ask MPB directly. The Z5 crops 4K video and lacks a fully articulating screen; if video is a priority, the Z5 II is worth the premium comparison.

Pair it with: Nikon Z 28mm f/2.8 at $154 (Day 7 ATL, 14 units) — $783 for a compact full-frame Z-mount prime kit. 5 The 28/2.8 is the cheapest native Z AF prime on MPB and a natural street/travel companion for the Z5's sensor.

Verdict: High-confidence buy. Cheapest full-frame body on MPB, five-day confirmed floor, 24 units. If you're entering Z-mount and want full-frame without stretching to a Z6 II ($1,019+), $629 is the entry point.

6-month range: $2,559–$2,639 (current session; first Excellent unit appeared today). Inventory: 8 units (down from 9). 6

Until today, every S1R II on MPB was Like New, floor at $2,599. A single Excellent-grade unit (SKU 3880337, with manual, original packaging, and factory battery/charger) appeared at $2,559 — a $40 drop. One unit doesn't make a floor, but it's the first Excellent trade-in, and grade diversification typically accelerates as more copies enter the used market.

The S1R II (Panasonic's 60.2MP full-frame L-mount mirrorless, 8K video, phase-detect AF, weather sealed) retails new at $3,499. 6 Panasonic does not publish a rated shutter actuation count for the S1R II. The seven remaining Like New units range from $2,599 to $2,639; the cheapest ($2,599, SKU 3938515) includes only battery, charger, body cap, and strap — no manual or box.

Pair it with: Panasonic Lumix S 50mm f/1.8 (L-mount) — MPB shows 10+ units in the $249–$284 range (visible from the S1R II's recommendations section; dedicated product page was inaccessible during this session's data pull). A sharp, lightweight fast-fifty for the S1R II's 60MP sensor.

Verdict: Watch. One Excellent unit is a development, not yet a floor. If you're already tracking the S1R II, set an alert — when a second or third Excellent unit appears, $2,559 or below becomes a confirmed buy threshold for the grade.

6-month range: $514–$1,589. Floor: $514 (unchanged across multiple sessions). Inventory: 10+ units. 7

The EF 24-70mm f/2.8L II USM (Canon's professional constant-aperture standard zoom, weather sealed, USM AF motor, 77mm filter thread) retails new around $1,899; the secondary EF market typically prices used copies at $700–$900. $514 is roughly 27% of new retail. That floor has sat unchanged for several weeks — this is a persistent value hold, not a flash price.

The wide range ($514–$1,589) reflects grade diversity. The $514 unit is almost certainly BGN (Below Normal in KEH terminology) or MPB's equivalent — inspect the listing's condition notes before ordering. EF glass adapts cleanly to RF bodies via the Canon EF-EOS R adapter, and to Sony E, Nikon Z, and L-mount via third-party adapters with varying AF performance.

Pair it with: Canon EOS R or RP body via EF-EOS R adapter if transitioning to RF; or keep it native on a 5D Mark IV / 6D Mark II if that's already in your bag.

Verdict: Buy if EF is your mount. The floor has been this price for weeks — it's not dropping further, and $514 for an L-series f/2.8 standard zoom is a value hold that's unlikely to get cheaper.

Nikon Z 28mm f/2.8 — $154 ATL Day 7: Fourteen units at the cheapest native Z-mount prime price on MPB. 5 Seven full days without a bounce is the longest active ATL streak in this session. Pairs with the Z5 for a $783 compact kit.

Fujifilm X-H2 — $1,649 floor, skip for now: The $140 overnight jump closed the $1,509 window. 8 At $1,649 the X-H2 sits $130 above the X-T5 ($1,519, 55 units), which shares the same 40.2MP sensor. Wait for the floor to re-establish.

Fujifilm X-T4 — Set an alert: Day 6 at $1,029, 15 units (plateaued after growing from 8 to 15 over five days). 2 Inventory equilibrium typically precedes either a floor crack or a slow sell-through. Sub-$1,000 remains possible.